Table 1 Predicted 6 month risk of AIDS according to age, current CD4+ cell count and viral load, based on a Poisson regression model
From: Predictors of disease progression in HIV infection: a review
Viral load (copies/mL) | Predicted risk (%) at current CD4 count (× 106 cells/L) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 50 | 100 | 150 | 200 | 250 | 300 | 350 | 400 | 450 | 500 |
25 years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
3000 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
10 000 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
30 000 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
100 000 | 18.6 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
300 000 | 25.1 | 14.5 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
35 years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
3000 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
10 000 | 12.1 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
30 000 | 16.6 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
100 000 | 23.1 | 13.2 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
300 000 | 30.8 | 18.0 | 11.7 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
3000 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
10 000 | 15.1 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
30 000 | 20.6 | 11.7 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
100 000 | 28.4 | 16.5 | 10.6 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
300 000 | 37.4 | 22.4 | 14.6 | 10.1 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
3000 | 13.4 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
10 000 | 18.8 | 10.7 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
30 000 | 25.4 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
100 000 | 34.6 | 20.5 | 13.3 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
300 000 | 44.8 | 27.5 | 18.2 | 12.6 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.4 |